SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
52.24% ( 0.33) | 25.7% ( -0.17) | 22.06% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.05% ( 0.44) | 55.95% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.95% ( 0.36) | 77.05% ( -0.36) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( 0.32) | 21.47% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.5% ( 0.5) | 54.5% ( -0.5) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% ( 0.09) | 40.63% ( -0.09) |
