SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
55.84% ( 0.43) | 25.39% ( 0.11) | 18.77% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 43.05% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( -1.01) | 58.27% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( -0.8) | 78.9% ( 0.8) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( -0.23) | 20.92% ( 0.23) |
