SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Mazatlan | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | CD Guadalajara | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Monterrey | 10 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 10 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Tigres | 9 | 5 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico San Luis in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Toluca |
42.94% ( 0.42) | 27.05% ( -0.05) | 30.01% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.22% ( 0.03) | 55.78% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.09% ( 0.02) | 76.91% ( -0.03) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.23) | 25.72% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.35% ( 0.31) | 60.65% ( -0.31) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.31% ( -0.26) | 33.68% ( 0.26) |
