SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Pumas | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Atlas | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Club Leon | 8 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Pumas | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | -2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Pumas |
50.63% ( 0.08) | 26.46% ( -0.03) | 22.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.13% ( 0.06) | 57.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.41% ( 0.05) | 78.59% ( -0.04) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( 0.06) | 22.98% ( -0.06) |
