SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Mazatlan | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | CD Guadalajara | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 7 | -9 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Club America | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan | 7 | -4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queretaro | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
40.13% ( 1.52) | 28.1% ( -0.54) | 31.77% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.89% ( 1.71) | 59.11% ( -1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.44% ( 1.3) | 79.56% ( -1.3) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( 1.73) | 28.81% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.33% ( 2.1) | 64.67% ( -2.1) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( 0.21) | 34.16% ( -0.21) |
