SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Pachuca | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Club Leon | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Pumas | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Monterrey | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Tigres | 4 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Leon | Draw | Toluca |
63.39% ( -0.06) | 21.11% ( 0.06) | 15.5% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( -0.24) | 46.88% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.22) | 69.13% ( 0.22) |
| Club Leon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( -0.1) | 14.13% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.21% ( -0.19) | 41.79% ( 0.19) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.09% ( -0.14) | 42.9% ( 0.14) |
