SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 36% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Burnley win is 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
37.43% ( -0.03) | 26.57% ( -0.1) | 36% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( 0.41) | 52.59% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% ( 0.35) | 74.25% ( -0.34) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 0.17) | 27.25% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.33% ( 0.22) | 62.67% ( -0.22) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.28) | 28.09% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.25% ( 0.35) | 63.75% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 27 | 25 | 61 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Luton TownLuton | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 50 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Watford | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 47 |
| 7 | Millwall | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 46 |
| 9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 45 |
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 45 |
| 11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 42 |
| 12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 | Hull City | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 | Reading | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 40 |
| 17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 39 |
| 18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 38 |
| 19 | Stoke CityStoke | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 37 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 32 |
| 22 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
| 23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 28 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
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