SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Burnley | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Cardiff City | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | West Bromwich Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Luton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Preston North End | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
41.59% ( -0.28) | 28.07% ( 0.34) | 30.33% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% ( -1.25) | 59.39% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.23% ( -0.97) | 79.77% ( 0.97) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0.75) | 28.13% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.19% ( -0.96) | 63.81% ( 0.96) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( -0.71) | 35.36% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.88% ( -0.75) | 72.12% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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