SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Newcastle United |
43.47% ( -0.1) | 25.55% ( 0.02) | 30.98% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( -0.07) | 49.4% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( -0.07) | 71.44% ( 0.07) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( -0.08) | 22.65% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.72% ( -0.12) | 56.28% ( 0.12) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( 0.02) | 29.72% ( -0.02) |
