SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Stevenage |
28.76% ( 0.33) | 25.63% ( 0.16) | 45.61% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.24% ( -0.47) | 50.75% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% ( -0.41) | 72.65% ( 0.41) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( 0) | 31.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.55% ( 0) | 68.45% ( -0) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.42) | 22.23% ( 0.42) |
