SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
40.18% ( -0.01) | 27.81% ( 0) | 32.01% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.99% ( -0) | 58.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( -0) | 78.7% ( 0) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( -0.01) | 28.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.04% ( -0.01) | 63.97% ( 0.01) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( 0.01) | 33.41% ( -0) |
