SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
48.08% ( -0.23) | 26.31% ( 0.07) | 25.62% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( -0.13) | 55.32% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( -0.11) | 76.53% ( 0.11) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( -0.16) | 23.03% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.15% ( -0.24) | 56.85% ( 0.24) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( 0.07) | 36.96% ( -0.07) |
