SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
36.74% ( -0.03) | 27.02% ( 0) | 36.24% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.56% ( -0.01) | 54.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.19% ( -0.01) | 75.8% ( 0.01) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.02) | 28.53% ( 0.02) |
