SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
33.73% ( -0.14) | 27.37% ( 0.25) | 38.9% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% ( -0.98) | 56.02% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( -0.81) | 77.1% ( 0.81) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.59) | 31.2% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.69) | 67.54% ( 0.69) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( -0.53) | 28.03% ( 0.53) |
