SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Lincoln City |
44.05% ( 0.01) | 25.9% ( -0) | 30.05% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% ( 0.01) | 51.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% ( 0.01) | 73.09% ( -0.01) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( 0.01) | 23.17% ( -0.01) |
