SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
28.39% ( 0.91) | 26.34% ( 0.18) | 45.27% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.48% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.22% ( -0.21) | 53.78% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.18) | 75.25% ( 0.18) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( 0.6) | 33.86% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.47% ( 0.64) | 70.53% ( -0.64) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( -0.6) | 23.68% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.21% ( -0.88) | 57.79% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.39% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 | DundalkDundalk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 20 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | Cork City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 6 |
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