SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
60.46% ( -2.9) | 23.54% ( 1.21) | 16.01% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 43.1% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( -1.58) | 55.48% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.34% ( -1.31) | 76.67% ( 1.32) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( -1.58) | 18.08% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.01% ( -2.79) | 49% ( 2.79) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.61% ( 1.47) | 47.4% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.22% ( 1.07) | 82.78% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.55)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.72)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.49)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.05% Total : 60.45% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.54% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 | DundalkDundalk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Cork City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 6 |
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