SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 25 | 56 |
| 2 | Derry City | 28 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 29 | 15 | 50 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 8 | 41 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 28 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 27 | -8 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
49.04% ( 0.31) | 25.65% ( -0.05) | 25.31% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% ( 0.01) | 53.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% ( 0.01) | 74.64% ( -0.01) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.14) | 21.65% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.22% ( 0.22) | 54.78% ( -0.22) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% ( -0.21) | 35.98% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.23% ( -0.22) | 72.76% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bohemians | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Derry CityDerry | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Cork City | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 6 |
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