SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
51.77% ( -0.09) | 24.39% ( 0.03) | 23.83% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( -0.08) | 49.24% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( -0.07) | 71.3% ( 0.07) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.06) | 19% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.44% ( -0.1) | 50.56% ( 0.11) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.01) | 35.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.05% ( 0.01) | 71.95% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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