SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
27.81% ( -0.15) | 27.5% ( 0.33) | 44.69% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 46.78% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.64% ( -1.24) | 58.36% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.03% ( -0.98) | 78.97% ( 0.98) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( -0.79) | 36.78% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.43% ( -0.8) | 73.57% ( 0.8) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.65) | 26% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.97% ( -0.89) | 61.03% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.81% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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