SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 88.82%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 3.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.86%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | University College Dublin |
88.82% ( 0.16) | 8.12% ( -0.11) | 3.07% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 38.21% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.32% ( 0.37) | 27.68% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.66% ( 0.46) | 48.34% ( -0.47) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.1% ( 0.09) | 3.9% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 83.46% ( 0.27) | 16.54% ( -0.28) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.76% ( 0.06) | 60.24% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 9.23% ( 0.03) | 90.77% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 3-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)7-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.97% Total : 88.8% | 1-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 8.12% | 0-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 3.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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