SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | University College Dublin |
59.14% ( -0.01) | 23.13% ( 0.01) | 17.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% ( -0.02) | 51.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( -0.02) | 73.19% ( 0.02) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( -0.01) | 17.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.78% ( -0.02) | 47.23% ( 0.02) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.26% ( -0.01) | 42.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.93% ( -0) | 79.07% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 59.14% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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