SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Bohemians |
26.23% ( -0.01) | 26.77% ( -0.01) | 47% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% ( 0.02) | 56.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( 0.02) | 77.6% ( -0.02) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( 0.01) | 37.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.06% ( 0.01) | 73.94% ( -0.01) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( 0.02) | 24.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.6% ( 0.02) | 58.4% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.23% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 12.74% 0-2 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | DundalkDundalk | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | Cork City | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 35 | -27 | 6 |
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