SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
51.98% ( 0.91) | 25.52% ( -0.23) | 22.5% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.12% ( 0.26) | 54.88% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.83% ( 0.22) | 76.17% ( -0.22) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% ( 0.49) | 21.14% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46% ( 0.76) | 54% ( -0.76) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.42% ( -0.5) | 39.59% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.73% ( -0.47) | 76.27% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.97% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bohemians | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Derry CityDerry | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Cork City | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 6 |
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