SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 9.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.52%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Drogheda United |
73.5% ( -0.04) | 17.2% ( 0.02) | 9.29% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.62% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.94% ( -0.07) | 45.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% ( -0.07) | 67.41% ( 0.07) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.26% ( -0.03) | 10.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.29% ( -0.06) | 34.71% ( 0.07) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.74% ( -0.02) | 52.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.83% ( -0.01) | 86.17% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 2-0 @ 13.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 73.49% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 17.2% | 0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 9.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bohemians | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Derry CityDerry | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Sligo RoversSligo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 14 |
| 9 | Cork City | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 6 |
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