Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
27.79% ( 0.41) | 27.33% ( -0.02) | 44.88% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 47.24% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.23% ( 0.28) | 57.77% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.5% ( 0.22) | 78.51% ( -0.22) |
Sligo Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.53% ( 0.49) | 36.47% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.74% ( 0.49) | 73.26% ( -0.49) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.36% ( -0.06) | 25.64% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.46% ( -0.09) | 60.54% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 27.79% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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