SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
44.34% ( 0.46) | 26.03% ( -0.14) | 29.63% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% ( 0.4) | 51.94% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( 0.35) | 73.69% ( -0.35) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( 0.4) | 23.33% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.71% ( 0.58) | 57.29% ( -0.58) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% ( -0.03) | 31.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.58% ( -0.04) | 68.42% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 | DundalkDundalk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Cork City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 6 |
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