SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Finn Harps |
68.12% ( -2.67) | 18.65% ( 1.26) | 13.23% ( 1.41) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.19% ( -2.29) | 40.81% ( 2.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.8% ( -2.39) | 63.19% ( 2.39) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.03% ( -1.29) | 10.97% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.78% ( -2.92) | 35.22% ( 2.93) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( 0.77) | 42.38% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.24% ( 0.65) | 78.76% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 2-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.51)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.55)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.38)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.37)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.04% Total : 68.11% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.16)Other @ 1% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | DundalkDundalk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Sligo RoversSligo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Cork City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 1 |
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