SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Espanyol |
38.35% ( 0.15) | 29.34% ( -0.09) | 32.31% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.62% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.81% ( 0.27) | 63.19% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.39% ( 0.19) | 82.6% ( -0.2) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( 0.23) | 31.9% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.65% ( 0.26) | 68.35% ( -0.27) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( 0.1) | 35.94% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.28% ( 0.1) | 72.72% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.33% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 32.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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