SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
58.66% ( -0.4) | 24.03% ( 0.2) | 17.3% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( -0.48) | 55.38% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% ( -0.39) | 76.59% ( 0.39) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( -0.33) | 18.7% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.95% ( -0.55) | 50.05% ( 0.55) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.36% ( -0.04) | 45.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.56% ( -0.03) | 81.44% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.66% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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