Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
