Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
