Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
