SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 9.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.31%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
71.74% ( 0.93) | 18.99% ( -0.51) | 9.27% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 37.28% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( 0.79) | 52.43% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0.68) | 74.11% ( -0.68) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.65% ( 0.52) | 13.34% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.77% ( 1.05) | 40.22% ( -1.05) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.02% ( -0.42) | 56.97% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.97% ( -0.24) | 89.02% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
| 2-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 15.31% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.09% Total : 71.73% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.99% | 0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.37% Total : 9.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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