SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
39.19% ( -0.2) | 27.15% ( 0.02) | 33.66% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( -0.04) | 55.18% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( -0.03) | 76.42% ( 0.03) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.13) | 27.47% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.04% ( -0.17) | 62.96% ( 0.17) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( 0.1) | 30.83% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.89% ( 0.12) | 67.11% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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