SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 38 | 53 | 92 |
| 2 | Yokohama F Marinos | 38 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Consadole Sapporo | 37 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
59.28% ( -1.83) | 22.33% ( 0.81) | 18.39% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% ( -1.86) | 47.15% ( 1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.62% ( -1.76) | 69.38% ( 1.76) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( -1.21) | 15.54% ( 1.21) |
