Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
-6.08) 
2.16) 
