Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
