Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.