Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Consadole Sapporo | 37 | -1 | 51 |
11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
Result | ||
Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
32.03% ( 0.5) | 30.45% ( 0.04) | 37.53% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 40.73% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |