SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Villarreal | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Villarreal |
25.39% ( 0.27) | 24.09% ( 0.02) | 50.53% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( 0.17) | 46.57% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% ( 0.16) | 68.85% ( -0.16) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( 0.32) | 32.42% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.06% ( 0.35) | 68.94% ( -0.35) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( -0.04) | 18.47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.34% ( -0.07) | 49.66% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.39% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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