SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Betis | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Osasuna | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Hajduk Split |
59.6% ( 0.15) | 25.1% ( 0.06) | 15.31% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 37.97% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.38% ( -0.46) | 61.62% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.54% ( -0.34) | 81.46% ( 0.34) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.13) | 20.77% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.59% ( -0.2) | 53.41% ( 0.2) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.93% ( -0.58) | 52.07% ( 0.58) |
