SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
65.46% ( -0.46) | 17.82% ( 0.23) | 16.71% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 63.94% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.75) | 28.92% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.12% ( -0.93) | 49.88% ( 0.93) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.63% ( -0.3) | 8.36% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.88% ( -0.75) | 29.12% ( 0.74) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( -0.25) | 30.23% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.61% ( -0.31) | 66.39% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.83% Total : 65.46% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 16.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 20 |
| 5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Heracles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Ajax | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
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