We said: FC Twente 0-2 Ajax
While Twente have nothing to play for, Ajax's European ambitions potentially hinge on Sunday's result. Heitinga's side cannot afford a slip-up this weekend and we fancy them to claim all three points in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result |
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
| 39.07% | 23.41% | 37.52% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( 0) |
| 62.08% ( 0.01) | 37.93% ( -0) |
| 39.82% ( 0) | 60.19% ( -0) |
| 80.21% ( 0) | 19.8% |
