SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | FC Twente |
26.69% ( 0.1) | 24.04% ( 0.05) | 49.26% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( -0.13) | 45.31% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( -0.13) | 67.65% ( 0.12) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( 0) | 30.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.03% ( 0.01) | 66.97% ( -0.01) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( -0.11) | 18.48% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.32% ( -0.18) | 49.68% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 26.69% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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