SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 56.12%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.12%) and 1-3 (6.78%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
23.27% ( 0.13) | 20.61% ( 0.01) | 56.12% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 64.96% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.5% ( 0.09) | 32.5% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.85% ( 0.1) | 54.14% ( -0.1) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( 0.15) | 26.44% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.38% ( 0.2) | 61.62% ( -0.19) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.32% ( -0.01) | 11.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.24% ( -0.02) | 36.75% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.27% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.42% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 56.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 82 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 43 | 55 | 82 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
| 4 | Willem II | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 67 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 63 | 1 | 59 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
| 9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 50 |
| 12 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 49 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 43 |
| 16 | Roda JC | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 84 | -38 | 35 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
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