SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
51.44% ( -1.05) | 22.06% ( 0.24) | 26.5% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.73% ( -0.45) | 36.27% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.6% ( -0.49) | 58.4% ( 0.49) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( -0.5) | 14.36% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.77% ( -0.96) | 42.22% ( 0.96) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.33) | 26.11% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.82% ( 0.45) | 61.18% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.45% Total : 51.44% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 85 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 99 | 43 | 56 | 85 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
| 4 | Willem II | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 68 |
| 5 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 53 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 52 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
| 15 | Roda JC | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 43 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 43 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 37 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 35 |
| 19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 46 | 85 | -39 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
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