Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
MVV Maastricht | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
32.17% ( 0.05) | 24.47% ( 0.01) | 43.36% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.57% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.86% ( -0.01) | 44.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.48% ( -0.01) | 66.52% ( 0.01) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( 0.02) | 26.34% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.51% ( 0.03) | 61.49% ( -0.03) |
FC Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( -0.03) | 20.48% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( -0.04) | 52.95% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
MVV Maastricht | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Heracles | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 101 | 42 | 59 | 82 |
P | PEC Zwolle | 36 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 96 | 41 | 55 | 79 |
3 | Willem II | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 66 | 38 | 28 | 67 |
4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 67 |
5 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 65 | 64 | 1 | 59 |
6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 62 | 1 | 59 |
7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 57 |
8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 57 |
9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 60 | 56 | 4 | 51 |
10 | TelstarTelstar | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 50 |
11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 49 |
12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 48 |
13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 46 |
14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 44 |
15 | Roda JC | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 |
16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 40 |
17 | TOP OssOss | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 74 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 82 | -36 | 35 |
19 | Dordrecht | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 34 |
20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 37 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 27 |
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