Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
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