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Friday, September 9
May 15, 2022 at 1.30pm UK at IJsseldelta Stadion
PEC Zwolle
1 - 2
PSV
Kastaneer (16')
Redan (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bruma (11'), Ledezma (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 0-2 PSV Eindhoven

Both sides come into this one with their respective fates already sealed, but we expect an exciting affair nonetheless. We are also backing PSV to come away with all three points at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 14.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawPSV Eindhoven
14.9% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 20.13% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 64.97% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)43.82% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.79% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)66.2% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)41.85% (0.145 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (-0.129 -0.13)78.31% (0.124 0.12)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29% (0.013000000000005 0.01)12.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04)38.93% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 14.9%
    PSV Eindhoven 64.97%
    Draw 20.13%
PEC ZwolleDrawPSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 14.9%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.13%
0-2 @ 11.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 10.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.78% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.78%
0-4 @ 4.01% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 64.97%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sparta 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, May 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-0 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, April 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-2 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, April 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-1 AZ
Sunday, April 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, April 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-2 NEC
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-2 PSV
Sunday, May 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-2 Willem II
Sunday, May 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 PSV
Saturday, April 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, April 17 at 5pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 1-2 Leicester
Thursday, April 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax55001631315
2Feyenoord5410145913
3AZ AlkmaarAZ5410103713
4PSV EindhovenPSV54012371612
5FC Twente5401102812
6Heerenveen52306159
7Sparta RotterdamSparta52127437
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk513110826
9NEC51316426
10SBV Excelsior5203816-86
11FC UtrechtUtrecht5122810-25
12Groningen5122510-55
13Cambuur511348-44
14Vitesse5113614-84
15EmmenEmmen5113514-94
16FC VolendamVolendam5113517-124
17Go Ahead Eagles5005513-80
18Fortuna SittardSittard5005716-90
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